Colombian left-wing presidential candidate Gustavo Petro of the Historic Pact coalition speaks onstage in Bogota, Colombia, Might 29.



Photograph:

STRINGER/REUTERS

Not too a few years in the past Colombia had defeated narco-left guerrillas and appeared headed for secure prosperity. However after Sunday’s first spherical within the presidential election, the nation of 51 million is tilting towards the left-wing populism that has harmed so many Latin nations.

Former M-19 guerrilla

Gustavo Petro

completed first with 40% of the vote, in need of the bulk required to keep away from a runoff on June 19. His opponent shall be

Rodolfo Hernández,

a profitable businessman and former mayor of Bucaramanga (2016-2019), who completed second with 28%. An eccentric 77-year-old with little fastened ideology, Mr. Hernández surged late within the race with the skillful use of TikTok whereas campaigning as an outsider towards corrupt elites.

The election marked the collapse of the center-right, whose candidate,

Federico Gutiérrez,

received lower than 24%. When President

Álvaro Uribe

left workplace in 2010 after defeating the terrorist FARC, he was a nationwide hero. Twelve years later his incumbent Democratic Middle get together—below the management of unpopular President Iván Duque—didn’t subject a candidate and there’s no free-market get together.

Mr. Petro is operating on an anti-establishment platform stressing social justice, revenue equality and radical environmentalism. However he refuses to distance himself from his previous hyperlinks with terrorism. As lately as final 12 months, in an interview on Colombian tv, he refused to specific regret in regards to the 1985 M-19 assault on the Supreme Court docket.

Mr. Petro admires Cuba, which for many years skilled armed teams in Colombia. He was a confidant of the late

Hugo Chávez,

who turned Venezuela right into a navy dictatorship. He has pledged to not expropriate non-public property, however he favors confiscatory tax charges and redistributionist land reform. He needs to renegotiate the profitable U.S.-Colombia free commerce settlement.

Mr. Hernández can be operating as an outsider and he hit a nerve by promising to interrupt up the clubby establishment in Colombian politics. He has nonetheless not been cleared of fees that he assisted the shopper of his son with a public contract whereas mayor, although he maintains his innocence. He was as soon as suspended as mayor for slugging a councilman, and he needed to step down early for allegedly violating a ban on political interference by metropolis officers.

Mr. Hernández’s economics is a mixture of subsidies and protectionism, although he’s not hostile to the non-public economic system as Mr. Petro is. He had the wit to rent a social-media whiz for his marketing campaign. He proposes to forgive and finance pupil debt by promoting Colombian embassy properties world wide, and he needs to chop privileges for politicians in Bogotá.

Mr. Hernández’s father was as soon as kidnapped by the FARC and his daughter was taken by the Nationwide Liberation Military (ELN) and by no means seen once more. That have could make him correctly skeptical of offers with terror teams.

Colombians seem to have given themselves a alternative between the satan and the deep blue sea, however Mr. Petro’s ties to Cuba and the Latin left make him the a lot greater threat.

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