Credit score…David Ramos/Getty Photographs

Louis van Gaal mentioned all of it with simply the trace of a playful smile. The Netherlands’ draw for the World Cup was not simple, he mentioned, along with his attribute bluntness, and nor was it fortunate. It was, as an alternative, “colourful.” That was a greater phrase. Ecuador’s sunshine yellow, Qatar’s wealthy maroon, Senegal’s deep inexperienced and that blazing Dutch orange: colourful.

He tried, as finest he may, to cover his delight. He knew, in any case, that the cube had fallen for him, and for his workforce, simply as he had predicted — in graphic and never completely severe phrases — that it will. Everybody wished to attract Qatar, the host and by a gulf the gentlest prospect of the highest seeds. Solely his workforce had been chosen.

However van Gaal is simply too lengthy within the tooth to be fooled. He is aware of, too, that World Cup attracts will not be simply bombastic and saccharine and crammed with time-wasting and content-filling and Idris Elba; they’re chimerical, too. They’ve an oracular high quality. Usually, they don’t imply what they appear to imply at first studying.

Contemplate Spain and Germany, for instance, drawn collectively early on in Group E. Their encounter will mark the top of the match’s first week; it’s the solely time two of the anticipated contenders to win the competitors, to be topped world champion, will meet within the opening section. Each appeared to have drawn the brief straw.

After which the balls saved on rolling and the names saved on coming and it turned out that each had, actually, landed on their ft. Japan will likely be no pushover, and whichever of Costa Rica or New Zealand fills out the group will hardly be content material to go quietly. However none have the sources or the standard or the pedigree of Spain and Germany, and each will likely be assured of creating it by means of.

Or have a look at England, which managed to make the semifinals in 2018 — and the ultimate of final summer season’s European Championship — by advantage of successful knockout video games, in regulation time, towards Sweden, a pale Germany and Ukraine.

Its luck appeared to have held, drawn with Iran, america and one among Scotland, Wales and Ukraine, a gaggle far richer in geopolitical intrigue than it’s in elite high quality.

“I want placing balls within the internet than flowers,” mentioned Dragan Skocic, Iran’s Serbian coach, when requested about assembly the People, a reference to the 2 nations’ exchanging bouquets once they met on the 1998 match. “Soccer transcends the political stuff,” mentioned his American counterpart, Gregg Berhalter.

Credit score…Kai Pfaffenbach/Reuters

However the group stage draw isn’t actually a draw only for the group stage: It’s a street map for the complete match, too. If England is to win — because it believes it will probably, this time, with relatively extra logic than that of the stopped clock — the incline grows instantly steeper as soon as the knockout stage begins. Senegal, probably the most full workforce Africa has despatched to a match for greater than a decade, could lie in wait within the final 16. Then it could possibly be France, the reigning champion, within the quarterfinals. No matter lies past that is probably not instantly related.

There’ll, in fact, be some groups who’re happy with their fates: France, actually, ought to have little bother with Denmark and Tunisia and one among Peru, Australia and the United Arab Emirates. The 2 South American contenders, Brazil and Argentina, will likely be assured, too.

Even america shouldn’t be too displeased. “We have now the youngest squad on the World Cup,” Berhalter mentioned. “For us, that’s a profit. The blokes are fearless.” England is likely to be comfy favorites to win their group, however there is no such thing as a motive to consider america — returning after an eight-year absence — can’t end second.

And there’ll, in fact, be groups who’re left to rue their lot. Canada, for instance, gracing this stage for the primary time since 1986, has a gaggle with out a true heavyweight however in some way tougher for it: Croatia and Belgium completed second and third 4 years in the past, whereas Morocco sailed by means of the arduous means of African qualifying.

In the end, although, Van Gaal was proper: There isn’t a means of understanding, eight months upfront, who has been fortunate and who has not, of which is the graceful draw and which the tough. After all of the pomp and the circumstance, the video montages and the advertising and marketing spiel dressed up as mission statements, all you possibly can say with any certainty is that it’s going to, when it comes, be colourful.