Senate races are totally different from different midterm contests: Solely a 3rd of Senate seats are up each two years, so typically one get together has extra to defend than the opposite. There are 21 Republican seats and solely 14 Democratic ones up this yr.

Republicans profit from People’ dissatisfaction with the established order. Solely 27% suppose the U.S. is headed in the proper path, whereas 66% suppose it’s on the improper monitor, in accordance with Wednesday’s RealClearPolitics common. It helps that the problems the GOP is sweet on—the economic system, inflation and crime—are dominant. President Biden’s 43% approval score provides them a lift. President Obama’s was at 46% in 2010 and 42% in November 2014. The Republicans gained Senate seats in each these midterms.